Topic: Decline of the West
The coming Greek referendum on acceptance of the European Union’s latest bailout plan is an omen of doom for ‘Europe.” Just a few years ago, the European Union was being touted as the next superpower, an economic colossus to rival America—see this book, for example. But now? The Euro, the common currency that was supposed to foster unification by integrating the economies of the continent, is looking more like a fiscal suicide pact.
Thanks to the Euro, Europe’s advanced economies are being held hostage by profligate spenders like Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain. The PIGS, as they’re called, are flat broke. Worse still, they’ve borrowed far more than they can ever hope to repay. Greece, for example, spent the last couple of decades constructing a lavish welfare state with borrowed money. Meanwhile the Greek economy was allowed to languish. To put it simply, Greece itself cannot possibly afford to fund the welfare state out of its own resources. Moreover, Greece can never hope to pay off its gargantuan national debt. The Greek bonds held by European banks are now toxic assets that threaten the stability of the whole European financial system.
In the good old days when it had its own currency, Greece could have skated out of its financial difficulties by devaluing the drachma. Paying off one’s debts with inflated money is one of the oldest tricks in the book. But now the Euro is Greece’s currency, and the Euro is controlled by Brussels. This gives the EU leverage over the Greeks. In return for a bailout Greece will have to accept stern austerity measures, mostly by pruning back entitlement programs. The dread prospect of being thrown off the government gravy train explains why the Greek people are rioting in the streets.
In Germany, people are discontented as well. The hard-pressed German taxpayer does not see why he should have his pocket picked to bail out the feckless and lazy Greeks. Each new proposal to save the PIGS from the consequences of their irresponsibility further diminishes the credibility of the EU in the eyes of Germans. Not incidentally, it also inflicts more political damage on the German chancellor, Angela Merkel.
Even in Europe, leaders cannot govern against the will of the people indefinitely. The European Union was created by the European elites, with scant regard for the views of the average citizen. Now the Greeks are going to have their say in a national referendum. It’s almost certain that they’ll vote down the EU bailout proposal by a wide margin, whereupon the Greek government will almost certainly ditch the Euro and return to the drachma.
Euroskeptics long predicted that the common currency would eventually drive Europe up a blind alley where the productive and thrifty (Germany, France) would be mugged by the PIGS. Because the Euro made no sense, they argued, it followed that the European Union made no sense. How right they have proved to be.