♦ The Moment of Balance ♦

The Theory & Practice of Strategic Bombing 1914-45
 

 

A view of Cologne during the MILLENNIUM attack, 30-31 May 1942 (Bundesarchiv)
 


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Air Marshal Arthur Harris—Bomber Harris to admirers and detractors alike—assumed command of RAF Bomber Command on 22 February 1942, at a moment when doubts were growing about the conduct and very purpose of the strategic air offensive against Germany. Bomber Command's poor performance in 1941, culminating in the disastrous night of 7/8 November 1941, had imposed what amounted to an operational pause. Conservation became the keynote: a buildup of forces with an eye to a resumption of the strategic bombing campaign in the spring of 1942. But skepticism was on the rise and it found its voice only three days after Harris arrived at Bomber Command HQ in High Wycombe. Speaking in Parliament on 25 February, Sir Stafford Cripps, Lord Privy Seal and Leader of the House of Commons in Churchill’s National Government, raised a disturbing question: “Whether in the existing circumstances, the continued devotion of a considerable effort to the building up of this bomber force is the best use we can make of our resources.”

Cripps pointed out that the strategic air offensive had been launched at a time when Britain stood alone “and it then seemed that it was the most effective way in which we, acting alone, could take the initiative against the enemy.” But now the Soviet Union and the United States were ranged with Britain in a grand alliance, and “Naturally in such circumstances the original policy has come under review.” These comments struck the Air Staff and Bomber Command HQ like a bolt of lightning, and their effect was only partly dispelled when the Air Minister, Sir Archibald Sinclair, told the House a few days later that it was intended to resume bombing Germany at the earliest possible moment.

But the skeptics made no impression on the new Air Officer Commanding-in-Chief of Bomber Command, who never for an instant wavered in his belief that strategic bombing alone held the key to victory. Sir Arthur Harris was, one might say, the last and greatest of the air power prophets. His commitment to the strategic air offensive was absolute; his attitude toward the other fighting services bordered on the contemptuous. And in addition he possessed (in the words of one historian of the RAF) “the sure touch of a leader.” From the day of his arrival at Bomber Command HQ, Harris’s energy and grip were evident. The year 1942 had opened on a note of gloom. It would end with a thunderclap.
 

Sir Arthur Harris with aircrew of No. 460 Squadron, Royal Australian Air Force (Australian War Museum)

At the time of Harris’s appointment, a longstanding, fundamental question about bombing policy remained to be resolved. Since 1940 there had been disagreements within Bomber Command and the Air Staff over area bombing versus attacks on specific industrial targets—the latter being official policy. However, both Air Chief Marshal Sir Charles Portal, the Chief of the Air Staff, and Harris’s predecessor at Bomber Command, Air Marshal Sir Richard Peirse, argued in favor of area bombing—on the pragmatic ground that only a whole German city was a large enough target to be successfully located and bombed. Ultimately their opinion carried the day and while there was no formal change of policy, it was tacitly accepted that area bombing of urban centers was the only feasible option.

Harris himself had no doubt that area bombing was the correct strategy, and he soon found an ally in the person of Churchill’s chief scientific adviser, Lord Cherwell. Early in 1942 he wrote a paper for presentation to the Cabinet that advocated area bombing of German cities. Cherwell argued that night bombing was insufficiently accurate to be effective against precision targets. Instead, the objective should be to cripple German war production by “de-housing” industrial workers. In plain language, German industrial workers and their families were to be targeted. Churchill and the Cabinet accepted this reasoning and it was embodied in a formal Area Bombing Directive to Harris. He was enjoined “to focus attacks on the morale of the enemy civil population and in particular the industrial workers,” mainly in the Ruhr, Germany’s largest industrial center.

A directive was one thing; making it effective was quite something else. If not moribund, Harris’s new command was in decidedly shaky condition at the beginning of 1942. There were several reasons for this: inadequate equipment, high losses, poor results and, not least, the demands of other theaters of war. Long-range aircraft were urgently needed for the Battle of the Atlantic and Bomber Command itself was ordered to devote much of its effort to minelaying and attacks on enemy naval targets. In addition, bombers and aircrew were required for the Middle East. The net effect of all this was that in February 1942 only 20% of Bomber Command’s total effort could be devoted to strategic bombing.
 

A Lancaster bomber with its flight crew, ground support staff and load of 30lb incendiaries (Imperial War Museum)

The equipment problem, at least, was about to be overcome. The new four-engine heavy bombers, the Handley Page Halifax and the superb Avro Lancaster, were entering squadron service in early 1942, and their numbers would grow steadily as the year progressed. Along with them came new navigation aids. The first of these, called Gee, was a radio system enabling a navigator to calculate his bomber’s position by noting the time required to receive signals from three separate ground stations. Though Gee had its limitations, it at least promised to get a bomber in the vicinity of its target. Another new item, with ominous implications for urban Germany, was an improved 30lb incendiary bomb.

Early raids employing Gee were directed at Essen in the Ruhr, and proved disappointing. A first wave of Gee-equipped bombers carrying flares led these attacks; it was their task to locate and illuminate the target. They were followed by a second Gee-equipped wave carrying a maximum load of incendiary bombs. They were to mark the target by creating a concentrated area of fire that the third wave, the main body, could use as an aiming point. But even with Gee not all of the illuminators and target markers bombed accurately, and the false target points thus created misled the main body. Though Gee proved a useful aid to navigation, it was insufficiently precise for a challenging target like the Ruhr.

Harris therefore decided to shift Bomber Command’s attention to a different class of targets: coastal cities. These had always been relatively easy to locate, and with the help of Gee there were good prospects for a successful attack. The first such city selected was Lübeck on the Baltic coast, once the capital city of the Hanseatic League. Admittedly it was not a first-class strategic target, but Harris reasoned that it was “better to destroy an industrial town of moderate importance than fail to destroy a large industrial city.” And Lübeck was attractive for another, sinister, reason: Its Old Town was a warren of ancient wooden houses. This made it “a particularly suitable target for testing the effect of a very heavy attack with incendiary bombs,” as a Bomber Command evaluation put it.
 

Lancaster Mk I of No. 207 Squadron (Imperial War Museum)

Lübeck was struck on the night of 28-29 March 1942, 234 aircraft being dispatched of which about 200 located and bombed the target. They dropped 300 tons of bombs including 144 tons of incendiaries, which destroyed around 50% of the city. In his diary, Goebbels, the Nazi Minister of Propaganda, lamented that some 80% percent of the historic Old Town had gone up in flames. But only 312 people were killed, with around 800 more or less seriously wounded and 8,000 made homeless—this out of a population of 125,000. Still, Lübeck was an omen. A month later Rostock, also on the Baltic coast, was hit on four successive nights, and the results were devastating. More than 100,000 people were made homeless; more than two-thirds of the city were destroyed. The holocaust of urban Germany had begun.

After Rostock the operational tempo increased, but Bomber Harris was not yet satisfied. He wanted an even more impressive demonstration of Bomber Command’s might. Thus was conceived the MILLENNIUM operation: 1,000 bombers against one target in one night. On the face of things, such an attack seemed impossible. Bomber Command’s average serviceability in the spring of 1942 was such that it could muster 300-350 aircraft at most for daily operations. But by extracting a maximum effort from the front-line squadrons and using the aircraft of Bomber Command’s Operational Training Units (OTUs) Harris was able to assemble a force of 1,043 bombers: 553 Wellingtons, 131 Halifaxes, 88 Sterlings, 79 Hampdens, 73 Lancasters, 46 Manchesters and even 28 veteran Whitleys. MILLENNIUM would commit virtually the whole of the RAF’s bomber force to action.

Harris presented his idea to Portal, the Chief of the Air Staff, on 18 May, and the latter soon obtained Churchill’s enthusiastic approval. The next full moon would come on May 30/31 and the attack was scheduled for that night. The weather over Britain was good but over Germany it was doubtful and of the possible targets Harris ultimately selected Cologne, the Rhineland’s largest city, as the most suitable.

MILLENNIUM was a high-risk operation in more ways than one. Dispatching so large a force, including as it did a large number of crews whose training was incomplete, courted disaster: Heavy losses among the OTUs would cripple Bomber Command’s training base. The attack was planned to last no more than 90 minutes, which meant a high concentration of aircraft over the target at any given moment—and a correspondingly high risk of collision. And if the attack proved unsuccessful the blow to British prestige would be very great indeed. The decision to go forward showed Harris at his best as a leader with the power to decide and command.
 

The Armstrong Whitworth Whitley was the RAF's first monoplane bomber, entering service in 1937. By the spring of 1942 it had been relegated to training and other second-line duties but 28 Whitleys assigned to Bomber Command OTUs participated in the MILLENNIUM attack. (Royal Air Force photo)

The operation commenced on a note of high tension. The weather over the North Sea was bad, but conditions improved as the force made landfall and the weather over Cologne was good. The fires raised by the illuminators and target markers provided a fine aiming point for the main body. Some 900 aircraft reached and bombed the city, dropping 1,000 tons of incendiaries and 500 tons of high explosives. Not all bombers at this time carried cameras, so an evaluation of the results had to await subsequent air reconnaissance. This showed that the damage was “heavy and widespread.” More than 600 acres of Cologne, including 300 in the heart of the city, appeared to have been completely destroyed. Once again, however, casualties were light: 474 dead and 8,000 wounded, many of the latter not seriously. On the other hand, more than 45,000 people were made homeless, 36 factories were knocked out and 70 others had their production cut by half. All this was temporary, of course: Throughout the war, the German home front showed a remarkable ability to recover from such heavy blows. Within a couple of weeks, life had returned almost to normal in Cologne—a fact not appreciated at the time by anyone in Britain, Harris included.

But by comparison with Bomber Command’s early operations, MILLENNIUM was rated a great success. And the cost seemed not too heavy. All told, 41 aircraft went missing: about 3.9% of the force dispatched. Remarkably, only two were lost in a midair collision over the target. Two more aircraft came down in the sea on the return flight, two collided during landing and five crashed on landing and had to be written off. A total of 116 aircraft were damaged, twelve so seriously that they had to be written off, and 33 seriously enough to require prolonged repairs. Aircrew losses totaled 291 and more were wounded in damaged aircraft and crashes.

On the very next night another maximum effort dispatched 957 bombers to Essen and this time the results were disappointing. So was an attack on Bremen by 1,003 aircraft later in June. By then it was becoming clear to Harris that the results of such large raids did not justify the great effort required to mount them, and he found himself in the awkward position of explaining this to Churchill, whose appetite for such big shows had been well and truly whetted.

Thus in the second half of 1942 Bomber Command’s operational tempo was somewhat reduced. Large raids of 500 to 600 bombers were still launched on occasion, but much time was devoted to analyzing the lessons of MILLENNIUM and its successors, integrating new aircraft and weapons into the force, and refining tactics. By the turn of the year Bomber Command would be a much more formidable weapon, operating in partnership with the US Eighth Air Force, whose advanced party arrived in Britain in February 1942, and which commenced operations in August. But only in retrospect did it become clear that with the advent of Bomber Harris and the launch of MILLENNIUM, the moment of balance was at hand.

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Copyright © 2021 by Thomas M. Gregg. All Rights Reserved
 

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